80% Probability of El Niño stresses Colombian economy and energy

Electricity, Environment    Mar 31, 2026 11:40 AM

Colombia's energy, agricultural, and macroeconomic outlook faces a new headwind: the Ministry of Environment, IDEAM, and the national disaster risk agency UNGRD have all confirmed an 80% probability of El Niño developing and consolidating in the second half of 2026, with a 13% chance of a "super El Niño" — defined as sea surface temperature warming above 2°C — toward year-end.

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